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Bloomberg: Every Senate seat matters

Despite optimistic reports from several other media outlets, Bloomberg is still dubious concerning the GOP’s chances of regaining the senate this fall:

Writes Jonathan Bernstein:

A new estimate from Nate Silver gives Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning a Senate majority in November. That’s a bit higher than the Upshot model (53 percent), and somewhat lower than the fairly confident projection from the Washington Posts’s Election Lab(82 percent). The Post’s version relies mainly on fundamentals; the other two give more weight to current polling. On balance, it’s fair to say that Republicans are more likely to get to 51 seats than Democrats are to keep 50 or more seats, but neither result would be surprising.

Read more on the projections here.

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Bloomberg: Every Senate seat matters

Despite optimistic reports from several other media outlets, Bloomberg is still dubious concerning the GOP’s chances of regaining the senate this fall:

Writes Jonathan Bernstein:

A new estimate from Nate Silver gives Republicans a 60 percent chance of winning a Senate majority in November. That??s a bit higher than the Upshot model (53 percent), and somewhat lower than the fairly confident projection from the Washington Posts’s Election Lab(82 percent). The Post’s version relies mainly on fundamentals; the other two give more weight to current polling. On balance, it??s fair to say that Republicans are more likely to get to 51 seats than Democrats are to keep 50 or more seats, but neither result would be surprising.

Read more on the projections here.

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