It has been a big week of news so far, with this morning’s second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) print showing the economy grew some 4% from April through June. That number was a welcome relief from the revised contraction of 2.1% in the winter-ravished first quarter.
The economy now seems on pace to deliver GDP growth of about 2%, which is not fantastic, but not bad either. I think what today’s GDP print tells us is that the Federal Reserve will almost certainly continue the taper of its bond-buying program. The Fed also will likely stay the course, depending on the data, and raise interest rates sometime in mid-2015.
That’s essentially the path the Fed took in its latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The central bank continued to taper its asset purchases by $10 billion per month, as expected, and it also left short-term interest rates alone at near-zero. The Fed’s statement contained language that acknowledged prices were climbing to their 2% inflation target. It also acknowledged improved economic conditions and an improving labor market.
Read more about the interaction between the Federal Reserve and gross domestic product at Eagle Daily Investor.