In the ongoing saga of the Affordable Care Act, oddly referred to by Democrats as the law of the land even as it is amended at will by presidential fiat, we are beginning to understand the extent of its war on jobs.
First, theÂ Congressional Budget OfficeÂ triples its estimate of the drop in the workforce resulting from the disincentive introduced by Obamacareâ??s insurance subsidies: 2 million by 2017, 2.3 million by 2021.
Democratic talking points gamely defend this as a good thing because these jobs are being given up voluntarily.Â Nancy Pelosi spoke lyricallyÂ about how Obamacare subsidies will allow people to leave unfulfilling jobs to pursue their passions: â??Think of an economy where people could be an artist or a photographer or a writer without worrying about keeping their day job in order to have health insurance.â?ť
Nothing so lyrical has been written about work since Marx (in â??The German Ideologyâ?ť) described a communist society that â??makes it possible for me toÂ .â??.â??.Â hunt in the morning, fish in the afternoon, rear cattle in the evening, criticize after dinner.â?ť
Pelosiâ??s vision is equally idyllic except for one thing: The taxes of the American factory worker â?? grinding away dutifully at his repetitive mind-numbing job â?? will be subsidizing the voluntary unemployment of the artiste in search of his muse. A rather paradoxical position for the party that poses as tribune of the working man.
In the reductio ad absurdum of entitlement liberalism, White House spokesmanÂ Jay Carney was similarly enthusiasticÂ about this Obamacare-induced job loss. Why, Obamacare creates the â??opportunityâ?ť that â??allows families in America to make a decision about how they will work, and if they will work.â?ť
IfÂ they will work? Pre-Obama, people always had the right to quit work to tend full time to the study of butterflies. Itâ??s a free country. The twist in the new liberal dispensation is that the butterfly guy is to be subsidized by the taxes of people who actually work.
In the traditional opportunity society, government provides the tools â?? education, training and various incentives â?? to achieve the dignity of work and its promise of self-improvement and social mobility. In the new opportunity society, you are given the opportunity for idleness while living parasitically off everyone else. Why those everyone elses should remain atÂ theirÂ jobs â?? hey! I wanna dance, too! â?? is a puzzle Carney has yet to explain.
The honest liberal reply to the CBO report is that a disincentive to work is inherent in any means-tested government benefit. Itâ??s the unavoidable price of helping those in need because for every new dollar you earn, you lose part of your subsidy and thus keep less and less of your nominal income.
Thatâ??s inevitable. And thatâ??s why we have learned to tie welfare, for example, to a work requirement. Otherwise, beneficiaries could choose to live off the dole forever. Thatâ??s why theÂ 1996 Gingrich-Clinton welfare reformÂ succeeded inÂ reducing welfare rolls by two-thirds. It is not surprising that the same Obama administration that has beenÂ weakening the work requirement for welfareÂ is welcoming the disincentive to work inherent in Obamacare.
But Obamacareâ??s war on jobs goes beyond voluntary idleness. The administration is now conceding, inadvertently but unmistakably, Obamacareâ??s other effect â?? involuntary job loss. On Monday, the administration unilaterallyÂ postponed and weakened the employer mandate,Â already suspended through 2015, for yet another year.
But doesnâ??t this undermine the whole idea of universal health coverage? Of course it does, but Obamacare was so structured that it is crushing small business and killing jobs. It creates a major incentive for small businesses to cut back to under 50 employees to avoid the mandate. Your business becomes a 49er by either firing workers or reducing their hours to below 30 a week. Because that doesnâ??t count as full time, you escape both the employer mandate to buy health insurance and the fine for not doing so.
With the weakest recovery since World War II,Â historically high chronic unemploymentand a shockingly low workforce participation rate, the administration correctly fears the economic consequences of its own law â?? and of the political fallout for Democrats as millions more Americans lose their jobs or are involuntarily reduced to part-time status.
Conservatives have been warning about this for five years. This is not rocket science. Both the voluntary and forced job losses were utterly predictable.Â Pelosi insisted we would have to pass the lawÂ to know whatâ??s in it. Now we know.