Recession Looms If Treasury Uses Tools to Prevent a Default (Bloomberg)
The U.S. Treasury can avoid a debt default even if Congress fails to raise the governmentâ??s $16.7 trillion borrowing limit by Oct. 17 but it likely would put the United States on a path toward recession. Economists at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., IHS Inc. (IHS) and BNP Paribas SA said they expect the Treasury to husband the tax money it collects to make sure it can meet interest payments on the nationâ??s debt. Other obligations, from salaries of government workers to payments to defense contractors, would face the ax. The result would be $175 billion less in government spending during November alone, said Goldmanâ??s Alec Phillips. â??The cutting would be so huge it would put the U.S. back into recession,â?ť said Jim Oâ??Neill, former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Yikes!
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