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Poll: Romney surges ahead in Michigan

 

Rasmussen has a new Michigan poll of likely voters, taken on Thursday night after the GOP primary debate in Arizona, that shows Mitt Romney surging to a 6-point lead over Rick Santorum:

Mitt Romney 40%

Rick Santorum 34%

Ron Paul 10%

Newt Gingrich 9%

The previous Rasmussen survey of Michigan had Santorum ahead of Romney by four points, 38-34, so this looks like a fairly straightforward tale of fallout from Santorum’s problematic debate performance, in which he spent a good deal of time on defense over his Senate career. 

On the bright side for Santorum, that sort of debate downer could be transitory, as the stylistic impression left by a stage performance fades from memory.  He’s got a weekend to put that stage behind him, and according to most other polls, Michigan remains a margin-of-error race. 

For example, a poll taken by Mitchell Research of East Lansing, Michigan, in cooperation with Rosetta Stone Communications of Atlanta, and listed at RealClearPolitics has Romney in the lead by only 3 points: Romney 36, Santorum 33, Paul 12, Gingrich 9.  This poll was also taken among likely voters after the CNN debate. 

I don’t believe we’ve seen a major national poll that would factor in the Arizona debate yet, but the latest Gallup survey, taken from February 18 to 22, had Santorum in the lead nationally by 7 points: Santorum 34, Romney 27, Gingrich 15, Paul 10.

 

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Written By

John Hayward began his blogging career as a guest writer at Hot Air under the pen name "Doctor Zero," producing a collection of essays entitled Doctor Zero: Year One. He is a great admirer of free-market thinkers such as Arthur Laffer, Milton Friedman, and Thomas Sowell. He writes both political and cultural commentary, including book and movie reviews. An avid fan of horror and fantasy fiction, he has produced an e-book collection of short horror stories entitled Persistent Dread. John is a former staff writer for Human Events. He is a regular guest on the Rusty Humphries radio show, and has appeared on numerous other local and national radio programs, including G. Gordon Liddy, BattleLine, and Dennis Miller.

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