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Rasmussen Poll: Romney 45, Obama 39


A new Rasmussen poll has some really bad news for an incumbent President matched up against a potential challenger:

Mitt Romney has now jumped to his biggest lead ever over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. It’s also the biggest lead a named Republican candidate has held over the incumbent in Rasmussen Reports surveying to date.

The latest national telephone survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters favor the former Massachusetts governor, while 39% prefer the president. Ten percent (10%) like some other candidate in the race, and six percent (6%) are undecided.

This is Romney’s biggest lead in a Rasmussen head-to-head matchup yet, and it’s mostly because Obama’s numbers have plunged.  Romney actually has the same 45% support as the “generic Republican,” a joke that pretty much writes itself.  Obama’s pulling 44% against the generic Republican but only 39% against Romney.  This represents a fairly significant drop for the President over the last two weeks.  He’s still 7 to 15 points ahead of the other Republican contenders.

The Republican candidates haven’t really been hitting Obama very hard over the last two weeks – they’ve been busy beating the crap out of each other in Iowa – and the President himself hasn’t produced a lot of negative headlines during that time.  In fact, the last round of media coverage before the holidays assured us he was the big winner in the year-end budget showdown. 

Perhaps that spin didn’t really sink in with Rasmussen’s respondents, and people aren’t as ecstatic over their unworkable two-month Social Security tax holiday as the conventional wisdom holds.  Or maybe this is a year-end polling slump for the President, as Americans perform their traditional year-end look back and don’t like what they see.  That wouldn’t bode well for an incumbent who was desperately hoping everyone would forget about his record.


Written By

John Hayward began his blogging career as a guest writer at Hot Air under the pen name "Doctor Zero," producing a collection of essays entitled Doctor Zero: Year One. He is a great admirer of free-market thinkers such as Arthur Laffer, Milton Friedman, and Thomas Sowell. He writes both political and cultural commentary, including book and movie reviews. An avid fan of horror and fantasy fiction, he has produced an e-book collection of short horror stories entitled Persistent Dread. John is a former staff writer for Human Events. He is a regular guest on the Rusty Humphries radio show, and has appeared on numerous other local and national radio programs, including G. Gordon Liddy, BattleLine, and Dennis Miller.

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