Herman Cain shows that he has maintained his lead in an Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG poll, despite the recent difficulties that his campaign has faced. Hot on Cain’s heals has been Texas Rep. Ron Paul, who has received a bump all the way to second place.
Cain has showed little signs of collapse, and this poll was conducted after the sexual harassment charges broke. Many conservatives have rallied around in support of Cain because they believe that he is being unfairly smeared.
Paul has had a jump in a variety of state and national polls, but most of the recent media focus has been on former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, who finished seventh in this poll.
Even though Gingrich has begun to replace Cain as the “anti-Romney” candidate in national polls, he has struggled in Iowa. This is most likely due to his past improprieties and the large number of religious voters in the state.
Cain and Paul may in fact be receiving votes from dramatically different constituencies. Cain has continued to pick up most of the openly religious voters and Paul has picked up a larger number of “declined to state” voters.
While the state of Iowa is known for rewarding the candidates with the best organization and retail politicking, the current position of the candidates in the poll seems to have little connection to their activity in the state. Cain has spent little time in Iowa and stays in the lead, while former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, who has spent most of his time in the state, has received little to no traction. Mitt Romney has maintained a solid third place in Iowa, despite expending little to no resources there.
Results of the Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG poll:
Herman Cain- 24.5%
Ron Paul- 20.4%
Mitt Romney 16.3%
Can’t Decide- 8.1%
Rick Perry- 7.9%
Michele Bachmann- 7.6%
Newt Gingrich- 4.8%
Rick Santorum- 4.7%
Jon Huntsman- 0.0%