Coming on the heels of all the dreadful economic news last week, today’s poll released by ABC News and the Washington Post must have the White House reeling while providing a huge boost for GOP contender Mitt Romney.
An announcement bump for Mitt Romney and a bus-tour boost for Sarah Palin put the pair atop the field for the Republican presidential nomination. But while their primary standings are similar, their broader prospects for election look vastly different.
Romney appears formidable: In a general-election trial heat in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll he runs evenly with Barack Obama among all Americans, and numerically outpoints him, 49-46 percent, among registered voters — not a statistically significant lead, given sampling error, but a clear reflection of Obama’s vulnerability to a well-positioned challenger.
The numbers for any Republican not named Romney are pretty bleak when placed head-to-head against Obama. Palin, in particular, trails by 17 points and by 11 among egistered voters. Only 47% of Republicans are satisfied with the current crop of choices, but barring any new surprise entries into the field, what we see is what we may wind up having to choose from. Let’s face it though, could a President Romney actually be worse than Obama?
Consider the dreary economic numbers:
A vast 89 percent of Americans say the economy’s in bad shape. It’s ranged from 87 to 94 percent steadily since spring 2008. This gets old; people want relief. But 57 percent say that in terms of their own experience, the economy has not yet even begun to recover from the recession. And among the minority that says a recovery has begun, 81 percent say it’s a weak one.
Obama, meanwhile, enjoyed a brief rise in approval after the killing of Osama bin Laden. Well, that’s gone.
The president’s bin Laden bounce is gone. He had a 47 percent job approval rating in April. That bounced to 56 percent in a Post/Pew poll immediately after Osama bin Laden was killed. It’s back, exactly, to 47 percent now.
Obama disapproval on his handling of the economy is now at 59%.
Considering how bad Obama’s numbers are, he’s still being propped up by slanted sampling in this poll, which breaks down as 31% Democrat, 25% Republican and 39% independent. It’s a marginally better sample than recent ABC/WaPo polls, but not by much.
One curious note is despite the media’s best efforts at smearing the Tea Party, their approval increased from 42% to 46%, with disapproval at 44%, better numbers than the most recent poll by the same outfit.
Meanwhile, the Washington Post may well now be on the Obama Enemies List, courtesy of this brutal assessment of what they call Obama’s phony accounting on the audo industry bailout.
What we found is one of the most misleading collections of assertions we have seen in a short presidential speech. Virtually every claim by the president regarding the auto industry needs an asterisk, just like the fine print in that too-good-to-be-true car loan.
The author basically calls Obama a liar and then some, accusing him of using weasel words and straw men. He winds up with Three Pinocchios, which they translate to “Significant factual error and/or obvious contradictions.” To which we ask the Washington Post: What took you folks so long to realize Obama lies with such casual ease?