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The odds are decent in this Reno district for the ex-state lawmaker who gave Harry Reid a 2010 run for his money, but she's hardly a sure thing.

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Sharron Angle-ing for Open Nevada House Seat

The odds are decent in this Reno district for the ex-state lawmaker who gave Harry Reid a 2010 run for his money, but she’s hardly a sure thing.

The biggest political story to come out of Nevada last week was that 2010 Republican Senate nominee Sharron Angle signaled she would seek her party’s nomination for the U.S. House in the soon-to-be-open 2nd District in 2012.

In fact, given the national attention on Angle’s close-but-losing race against Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D.-Nev. ) last year, her decision to run for the seat of Republican Rep. Dean Heller (who is running to succeed outgoing GOP Sen. John Ensign) was the major item on political blogs and websites across the country last week.

On the surface, former state legislator and conservative stalwart Angle looks like a major contender for the House.  She won a crowded Senate primary with ease, built up a list of donors from all 50 states, and no doubt has residual name recognition approaching 100% in the Reno-based 2nd District.  Many who watched her televised debate with Reid still vividly recall her famous retort:  “Man up, Harry Reid.”

In addition, the feisty lady from Nevada—who unabashedly opposes abortion under all circumstances and has called for abolishing the Department of Education—still has a warm spot in the hearts of conservatives nationwide.  Last month, she was introduced from the audience at a Washington dinner honoring the late conservative leader Paul Weyrich and drew a prolonged ovation.

But is Angle a cinch to go to Congress in 2012?  Hardly.

“What the bloggers and political junkies are forgetting is that Nevada, like all the other states, is going through redistricting and that will mean some big changes,” said a Las Vegas political consultant who requested anonymity.  “Republicans will control the redistricting process and they want to protect [freshman Rep.] Joe Heck in the 3rd District.  That will mean giving some of the rural turf from the 2nd—the same area that has given Sharron her strongest backing in primaries over the years.”  (In ’06, Angle lost a primary for Congress to Heller by fewer than 500 votes and in ’08 lost a primary challenge to state senate GOP leader William Raggio).

The same source added that Republican lawmakers wielding the redistricting knife “are more likely to help Joe [Heck] than they are to help Sharron.”

Angle will almost surely face several primary opponents.  Her chief challenger is likely to be former state Sen. Mark Amodei of Carson City, who is state party chairman.  Amodei is described as being as conservative as Angle, but different stylistically.

Other possible Republican candidates include Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki, and former U.S. Attorney Greg Brower, who was just appointed to the state senate seat that old Angle nemesis Raggio resigned.

An intriguing prospect is retired naval officer Kirk Lippold, onetime commander of the U.S.S. Cole that was bombed by Arab terrorists.  Lippold, who considered a challenge to Reid last year, is a popular speaker at service clubs and other organizations in northern Nevada and reportedly anxious to run for office.

Democrats are very likely to field a strong candidate in the 2nd District, and their most-mentioned contender is State Treasurer Kate Marshall.

Will Sharron Angle be a heavyweight contender in the sure-to-be-watched race for Congress in the 2nd District next year?  Absolutely.  Is she a sure thing?  As they say in this gambling state, don’t bet the ranch on it.

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John Gizzi has come to be known as â??the man who knows everyone in Washingtonâ? and, indeed, many of those who hold elected positions and in party leadership roles throughout the United States. With his daily access to the White House as a correspondent, Mr. Gizzi offers readers the inside scoop on whatâ??s going on in the nationâ??s capital. He is the author of a number of popular Human Events features, such as â??Gizzi on Politicsâ? and spotlights of key political races around the country. Gizzi also is the host of â??Gizziâ??s America,â? video interviews that appear on HumanEvents.com. Gizzi got his start at Human Events in 1979 after graduating from Fairfield University in Connecticut and then working for the Travis County (Tex.) Tax Assessor. He has appeared on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including Fox News Channel, C-SPAN, America's Voice,The Jim Bohannon Show, Fox 5, WUSA 9, America's Radio News Network and is also a frequent contributor to the BBC -- and has appeared on France24 TV and German Radio. He is a past president of the Georgetown Kiwanis Club, past member of the St. Matthew's Cathedral's Parish Council, and secretary of the West End Friends of the Library. He is a recipient of the William A. Rusher Award for Journalistic Excellence and was named Journalist of the Year by the Conservative Political Action Conference in 2002. John Gizzi is also a credentialed correspondent at the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. He has questioned two IMF managing directors, Dominique Strauss-Kahn and Christine LaGarde, and has become friends with international correspondents worldwide. Johnâ??s email is JGizzi@EaglePub.Com

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