Few political analysts thought Christine O’Donnell, political neophyte and perennial outsider candidate, would defeat heavyweight, nine-time U.S. Rep. Mike Castle in the Delaware Republican Senate primary for Vice President Joe Biden’s former Senate seat. Against what initially seemed like insurmountable odds, O’Donnell soundly beat Castle 53%-47%.
This so-called “political impossibility” is a major victory for the Tea Party, adds luster to the king-making ability of former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R), and shows the vote-getting strength of conservative endorsements like South Carolina Sen. Jim DeMint (R).
Castle’s “unexpected” defeat (unexpected by the Inside-the-Beltway crowd), along with Joe Miller’s surprise primary defeat last month of Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R), is evidence that the grassroots conservative political movement constitutes a rip tide capable of dragging down established politicos and sweeping them out of office with unnerving force.
Those who lament a likely Democrat win in Delaware in November — which increases the odds against the Republicans winning a majority in the Senate — don’t understand the ferocity of ordinary citizens’ anger at the way the “political class” has been destroying America.
If O’Donnell, a candidate with no government experience who provides numerous angles of attack by her opponent, can pull off such a major upset, the political establishment’s stronghold in Washington is obviously eroded and is on the verge of crashing down.
Declaring that she is “in this to win,” O’Donnell joined with Tea Party Express in asking the National Republican Senatorial Committee to reverse its decision not to fund her efforts in the general election. NRSC executive director, Rob Jesmer, issued a less-than-gracious statement with tepid congratulations for O’Donnell’s victory “after a hard-fought primary campaign.”
Now—with Sharron Angle winning the GOP Senate nomination in Nevada earlier this year—the party faces a challenging decision: Will they continue what O’Donnell called “cannibalism,” by flaunting their disdain for the GOP’s base and platform, or will the last remnants of the party establishment hold onto the flotsam of its power as it gets swept out to sea?
Clearly, the “certified” political establishment has underestimated the Tea Party movement, which — all expectations to the contrary — has become a grassroots powerhouse in American political life, despite attempts by professionals in both parties to marginalize and reduce it to an object of derision.
Some have described the movement as generating “rabid enthusiasm among the GOP base, hostility from most others.” Even now, the media spin is that Christine O’Donnell is a “a right-wing gadfly and serial debtor” and her “improbable victory” is evidence that an “angry, restive base” is “kicking out” those like Arlen Specter and Charlie Crist who are not “ideologically pure.”
There is nothing new in this kind of angry sputtering: Social conservatives have been on the receiving end of this same kind of abuse by the know-it-all, big-money Rockefeller wing of the Republican Party for decades; they never relent in their smug condescension toward the pro-life Republicans, without whose votes they couldn’t win an election for dog catcher.
Yet, the Rasmussen Reports survey in April indicated that nearly one quarter (24%) of the electorate self-identify as members of the Tea Party movement; a New York Times/CBS News poll indicates that 20% of Americans support the movement. That level of support has unnerved much of the political establishment who has latched onto House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) description of the movement as more “Astroturf” than “grassroots.”
Blinded by her arrogant view that those ignorant, unenlightened, ordinary folks (the ones who cling to their guns and their Bibles) don’t know what’s good for them, Pelosi, et al., clearly “misunderestimate” the public’s anger at the content of the misnamed, “Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act”— Obamacare with its prohibitive price tag and the process by which Obamacare was shoved down their throats.
Nor do they understand the outrage that ordinary Americans and state officials—who will have the burden of implementing Obamacare—feel about the outrageous expansions of federal “stimulus” spending that have pushed the nation to the brink of financial disaster.
The Democrat leadership may also be “misunderestimating” Christine O’Donnell’s chances of defeating their candidate in November.
Bill Kristol is certainly right in his assessment that O’Donnell is not Palin, but some think they are hearing the rumblings of a tectonic shift in the political terrain that will produce a tidal wave like we’ve not seen in our lifetime.
If so, a November upset is possible. The voters in Delaware have as much reason as the rest of the nation’s voters to be fed up with “politics as usual.” It is common knowledge in Delaware that Biden wants to see his old Senate seat occupied by his son, Beau, and voters are leery of a possible Democratic deal to make that happen. Plus, this election appears to be not just anti-Democrat but anti-incumbent of both stripes.
Further, the good citizens of Delaware are being hit by the recession and staggering stock market just like everyone else. Who is to say that they won’t prefer a candidate who is struggling financially over country-club candidates and “fat-cat politicians”?
So don’t count the Tea Party movement out in Delaware. After all, as O’Donnell said, the NRSC does not have a “winning track record,” and the Tea Party, though new to the political game, has pulled off several stunning upset victories.