Next year is shaping up to be a disastrous election year for Democrats. More new polling data released just yesterday suggests an electorate fed up with corrupt politicians, the government takeover of health care, double-digit unemployment and the imposition of hope and change with a radical left bent.
A new round of Quinnipiac University polling data was released yesterday on races in Connecticut and Ohio. The news is grim for incumbent Democrats up for re-election in these states that Obama won handily in the Presidential election just one year ago.
Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.), Chairman of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, is in serious trouble. The corruption scandals involving sweetheart loans from former Countrywide CEO Angelo Mozilo have taken a serious toll on Dodd’s re-election chances.
Connecticut voters disapprove of the job Dodd is doing as Senator by a margin of 54-40 percent. His disapproval rating among independent voters is 60 percent.
Former Connecticut Congressman Rob Simmons has an early 11-point lead in the five-person Republican primary field. Simmons also bests Dodd in a projected general election matchup by a whopping 49-38 percent with 11 percent undecided. The race looks at this point like an “anybody but Dodd” race as political newbies with very little name recognition are ahead or tied with the incumbent Senator in the poll.
Not a good position for any incumbent.
Portman Moves Ahead in Senate Race
In the crucial swing state of Ohio, Republican Rob Portman has moved ahead of both Democrat challengers for the very first time in the U.S. Senate race. Portman, a former Ohio Congressman, leads Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner 38-34 percent and Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher 39-36 percent.
Brunner gained national fame in the 2008 presidential election when, in her capacity as
Secretary of State, she refused to allow computer cross matching of thousands of ACORN new voter registrations with Ohio DMV rolls, creating a computer wall of separation between voter registration information and other computer public data verifications systems. Brunner was also on the receiving end of several restraining orders until courts could sort out and monitor her same day registration and absentee ballot voting scheme.
Also for the first time, half of Ohio voters now disapprove of the job Obama is doing as President (a margin of 50-45 percent.) And in yet another first, voters are tied 40-40 percent on whether the President or Congressional Republicans are doing a better job on health care.
Ohio voters disapprove 53-42 percent of the way the President is handling the economy and disapprove 57-36 percent of the way he is handling health care.
“The Democratic wave that swept through Ohio in 2006 and 2008 may be cresting,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “The Democratic lead in the Governor’s and Senate races has evaporated and for the first time President Barack Obama is under water in the most important swing state in the country.”
Independent voters break the close races in Ohio and they disapprove 49-45 percent of the overall job Obama is doing, disapprove 54-39 percent of his handling of the economy and disapprove 62-34 percent, almost 2-1, of his handling of health care.
This news is on the heels of another Ohio Quinnipiac poll released Wednesday that found Ohio Democrat Gov. Ted Strickland’s lead over likely Republican challenger John Kasich in the 2010 race for reelection has evaporated, with the race dropping into a 40-40 percent tie. Kasich is a former Congressman and Fox News Channel program host.
Strickland held a 46-36 percent lead in mid-September.
Cook’s Competitive House Race Analysis
The Cook Political Report yesterday released its Competitive House Race analysis chart that should again give Democrats reason to pause and re-think following Obama’s radical left leadership like lemmings over the political cliff.
Competitive House races in the analysis are broken into three categories.
Likely: These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become engaged.
Lean: These are considered competitive races but one party has an advantage.
Toss-Up: These are the most competitive; either party has a good chance of winning.
Democrats have 81 seats listed as competitive, 45 Likely Democrat, 24 Lean Democrat (one open seat currently held by a Republican with a majority registered Democrats in the district), 12 Tossup Democrat.
Republicans have only 27 seats listed in the competitive analysis with 15 in the Likely Republican, 9 Lean Republican (one open seat currently held by a Democrat) and only 3 Tossup Republican seats. One of the tossup seats is Rep. Joseph Cao (R-La.) who voted in favor of Pelosicare and represents a New Orleans district where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by 25 percent. Cao won the seat in a post-Katrina race when former Democrat Congressman William Jefferson was convicted on 11 of 16 federal corruption charges including bribery.
Rasmussen: Republicans Jump to Six-Point Lead on Generic Ballot
And if all of that weren’t bad enough news for Democrats, Republican candidates have now stretched their lead over Democrats to six points in Rasmussen’s Generic Congressional Ballot.
The national telephone survey of likely voters revealed that 43 percent would vote for a Republican congressional candidate while 37 percent would opt for the Democrat. Republicans have now held the lead in the generic ballot for over four months.
Likely voters not affiliated with either party favor Republicans 43-20 percent.
And the Reid/Pelosi/Obama answer is to ram through the unpopular health care bill. As much political damage as this will and is already doing to Democrats, I’d rather the government rationing of breast cancer medication and pacemakers in America remain forever a pipe dream of useful idiots on the left.
See government-run, priority H1N1 vaccine distribution if you still have any doubts about what government rationed health care looks like. Hard working, American taxpayers need not apply for a priority vaccine for their high-risk children or pregnant mothers. The government decides who gets the vaccine, and you don’t rate as high as select prison inmates, Wall Street high-dollar political supporters or a Gitmo terrorist.