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ExclusiveMcCain, Giuliani Shouldn’t Underestimate Conservative Strength in ’08

Dec. 13, 2005
Washington, D.C.
Vol. 40, No. 25

To: Our Subscribers

Inside This Issue

1) Democrats enter a confused metamorphosis over their position on the Iraq War, as Bush seeks to recover his standing in the polls.

2) House Republicans enjoy unexpected success in passing tax-cut extensions.

3) DeLay’s travails continue as only one of three charges is dismissed.

4) Congressional Democrats move quietly to suppress Barrett Report.

5) Harris’ position in Florida race looks more and more tenuous.

Novak’s Outlook

1) President George W. Bush has revived Republican spirits to a great extent by finally taking the offensive on Iraq. For the first time in a very long time, he has put the Democrats back on their heels. At least, he has temporarily arrested the GOP self-pity.

2) Astute Democratic politicians believe House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has compounded her early mistake of advocating troop withdrawal by suggesting there is a consensus Democratic policy on Iraq. The smart position by the party, these critics say, is to let the Republicans argue among themselves.

3) The biggest mystery on Capitol Hill is Rep. John Boehner (R-Ohio), regarding his intentions about when — not whether — to run for majority leader, now or in the regular cycle. Whether he could defeat Acting Majority Leader Roy Blunt (R-Mo.) may depend on how worried Republicans are that they think they need a change.

4) There is talk in Washington about Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and ex-New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) battling it out for the presidential nomination or even sharing the ticket. That perspective ignores the strength of conservative Republicans who want their own candidate.

5) The humiliating defeat of California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger‘s (R) conservative ballot issues has convinced his handlers that he must move left to be re-elected next year. That explains his hiring Democratic activist Susan Kennedy as chief-of-staff, infuriating the California Republican mainstream.

6) Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.) will not run unopposed for the Democratic presidential nomination. Sending out direct and indirect signals that each will be a presidential candidate in ’08 are exiting Virginia Gov. Mark Warner, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, Sen. Evan Bayh (Ind.), Sen. Joseph Biden (Del.), Sen. John Edwards (N.C.) and Sen. John Kerry (Mass.).

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Written By

Mr. Novak was a syndicated columnist and editor of the Evans-Novak Political Report, a political newsletter he founded in 1967 with Rowland Evans. He passed away August 19, 2009. Read tributes to Robert Novak and his legendary work, as well as memories from Novak alumni and the Human Events family.

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