This was a big week for the Leftist junior Senator from Massachusetts: he was able to convince John Edwards — a staunchly liberal trial lawyer whose political message is even less cogent (due to a lack of seriousness and substance) than John Kerry’s — to be his running mate. The response was supposed to be a serious jump in the polls as Americans got a chance to really focus on Kerry, with all the subsequent media attention, and to get to know his more-charming-though-far-less-wealthy Veep wannabe.
So far, the greatest response has been a multitude of photographs of the duo’s apparent inability to keep their hands off each other. Of course, it may take a while for the impact of the media attention of this recently announced two-liberal-Senators ticket to be fully realized, but the preliminary results aren’t good so far for the Democrats.
Here are three polls from this week with which the Kerry-Edwards camp is probably not thrilled:
- ZOGBY INTERNATIONAL: “The newly announced Democratic Presidential ticket of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry and North Carolina Senator John Edwards enters the race with a two point lead over President George W. Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney (48%-46%), according to a new Zogby America poll. The poll of 1008 likely voters was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday (July 6-7, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1.
“In a one on one match-up with the President, Kerry leads by two points (46%-44%), with 7% undecided. Kerry shows no significant bounce here in spite the recent announcement of his vice-presidential running mate.”
- RASMUSSEN: “Friday July 09, 2004–The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows that Senator John F. Kerry now attracts 47% of the vote while President George W. Bush earns 46%.”
- ASSOCIATED PRESS: “Democrat John Kerry has solidified his base, gained some ground in the South and among lower income voters and seen independent Ralph Nader’s support drop, according to an Associated Press poll.
“Still, Kerry is slightly behind President Bush in the AP-Ipsos poll that found voters increasingly confident about the economy just as Kerry picked his running mate. […]
“The poll found Bush slightly leading Kerry 49 percent to 45 percent with independent candidate Ralph Nader at 3 percent. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
“The Bush-Kerry matchup was tied a month ago. Nader has slipped slightly since May, when he had 7 percent.
“The three-day survey began Monday, the day before Kerry tapped Edwards as his running mate, and asked registered voters about the newly minted ticket on Tuesday and Wednesday.
“Half supported the Republican tandem of Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney while 46 percent backed the Kerry-Edwards ticket, just within that question’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
“Voters said they were feeling better about the economy and no worse about Iraq, a sign that Bush may be regaining his political footing just as Democrats make a high-profile push toward their nominating convention later this month.”
Like I said, these numbers could change, and soon — polls and politics are funny things — but given the “most liberal Senator’s” propensity for changing his mind as often as his socks, Edwards might want to watch his back.
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