Poll watch: ‘C’ is for comeback
So basically, it’s been all good news for Mitt Romney this week.
For the first time since both candidates were set, Romney has taken the lead in the RealClearPolitics national poll average (included in the average were two polls taken before debate.)
In the Rasmussen Swing State tracking poll, encompassing 11 states, Romney finds himself with a 49-47 percent lead over Barack Obama. One percent in the poll support another candidate (Libertarian or Green) and three percent remain Catatonic (sometimes known as “undecided”).
This is the first time Romney has led in the swing state poll survey (which includes Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin) since September 19. The poll is based on findings from the previous seven days — most of the responses included have come since the Romney’s debate win.
An IBD/TIPP 2012 Presidential Election Daily Tracking Poll shows Romney with a 58-34 percent among independents.
Then there is the highly watched Gallup daily poll, this one being the first “likely voter” poll of the year, showing Romney holding a 49-to-47 lead over Obama. The polls still feature two days of pre-debate polling. (According to Gallup, the president’s job approval jumped to 53 percent.) For obvious reason, conventional wisdom says that a poll of “likely voters” will more accurate than one of registered voters.
In a new Pew poll, Romney, who, not long ago trailing by nine points, is even with Obama among registered voters 46-46 and holds a 49-45 lead.
Whatever you make of any particular poll, it’s fair to say that all this constitute a trend. This isn’t just about the shellacking Obama took in Denver. The first debate also corresponds with the general time-frame in which voters start paying closer attention.
Yet, Obama camp’s is still trying to score retroactive points on Romney. Someone in the campaign, for instance, hatched a bright idea: let’s make that one-percenter Big Bird a issue and cut this ad (PBS has since asked the Obama campaign to take it down).
That ad has, needless to say, backfired in a big way. Yes, today, Obama spokeswoman Jen Psaki actually said, “There’s been a strong grassroots outcry over the attacks on Big Bird. This is something that mothers across the country are alarmed about, and you know, we’re tapping into that.” And after watching msnbc today, I get that the Big Bird controversy is huge news on middling cable news networks.
Elsewhere, though, folks might find the president’s harping on a throwaway line from a debate he lose about a Muppet who makes a lot more money than he does is rather immature, silly and trivial.
(A few years ago, I wrote about how defunding PBS and NPR would be a win-win for everyone.)